Margin of error is ±3 percentage points.
Obama's approval rating has already risen by three points
(to 42), which is about where he was for the past 6 months, on par with the margin of error. As to his standings with Democrats and Liberals, the numbers are still very high <
click here>:
But, for craps and giggles, in this article <
click here>, Gallup make a definitive analysis, showing that Obama's numbers have not fallen significantly, which is in sharp contrast to Gallup's Economic Confidence index. This is atypical and indicates that people, for the most part, recognize Obama is not at fault for the economic State of the Nation. False association isn't working in this case. Indeed, Obama's numbers have remained relatively steady <
click here and
here>.
The real low numbers are with Congress <
click here> and the Tea Party caucus <
and here>, with the polls indicating that most Americans feel Congressional members are putting their own political interests ahead of the nation's interests.
As indicated, through many sources, what has the greatest influence on whether a President is re-elected, is unemployment. Historically, if unemployment is rising, a President does not get a second term, and vice versa if it is falling. Since Obama's entry into office, unemployment has been consistently falling <
click here>.
So, while the naysayers in our community are licking their chops and hoping for the demise of Obama and his administration, facts indicate their appetite will have to wet itself elsewhere.