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Your calculation is for a chance of 12%. "Probability of success on a trial" is a value between 0 and 1 where 1 would be 100%. That's why the results on your screenshot are so strange, like P(X>=4) being that high, etc. With the correct drop rate of 0.11 % you will get a value of 0.00001 for...

On average every 10th player will get one of the 25% potions. If I am not mistaken 1 in 10,000 players will get two of the 25% potions. Whether thats "enough players" I leave to others. You were still exaggerating I guess :D I agree that 5 and 10 % potions would be nicer than 1 and 2 %, but I...

Let's not fool ourself. All worlds benefit the same way from the abusive gambling modes. Anyone who wants to be on the morally safe side would have to quit TW.

Right now there is a handful of players that have like 90% (just guessing) impact on the FF result. For example 1 player had 541 of the overall ~3000 dodges. The other stats are spread among a few more players, but it's not much different. I would be surprised adjusting the cap will help much...

Not everything is about FFs. Some of the people picking workers probably did that because of the exp bonus. What makes it worse is that the DoD community awards were hand out right after the world opened. When you started an hour after it you didn't get the black chests. So even less gear for...

@Syntex I was just checking the page for the community rewards and noticed that they should be all unlocked by now. But I didn't get any of the rewards. Is that because I joined the new world after the rewards got unlocked or am I missing something?

and 3 weeks time to earn bonds and $ for christmas sale. and most likely the chance to do any of the Halloween quests since we won't have the crafting level, products, etc. :roll:

Great idea. Though I would rank by ratio of flowers per player to track activity. The overall number of flowers should mostly be in line with the number of players. So it doesn't tell us much new. For example Houston might have a small player base but with 3600 flowers per lvl 15 player they...

I still belief the bigger issue will be the limited amount of damager gear, while everyone will have at least La China. And with the162 resistance it gives there will be the additional challenge to level up enough to make at least a scratch.

I don't think anyone was talking about taking away something. But we were told that the new world is starting later so that it does not conflict with the speed world. It should be obvious that this decision backfires now. They should have started the new world earlier. That doesn't change a...

Yeah, I didn't expect the single set items to be that weak after seeing the set boni. Could you change the values to level 50 or 70? That's more realistic for the new world.

Either I am missing something big time or you are 2 years too late :) Of course that's just the set boni. Don't know the cloth boni yet. For what it's worth I still think it will suck to play this tank meta until Christmas Sale. Sources: La China...

In other words, damagers will have a hard time on the new world. Except a few that get murrieta set

Try again. I didn't say it's better because it's free. I said it's better _and_ it's free. And with free I mean everyone that reaches 140000 Cempasúchil flowers will have this set. In other words they won't need the lucky cortina drop.

After comparing the set boni i would say the new one is better in def than cortina and better in attack than bull. Since it's a free set almost everyone will have it. Only a few will have a decent damage set. Why would those few cortina sets matter on the new world and how will the new set lead...

Nope. 30k were. By your logic we would have to take the overall signups to calculate the percentage. Or do you really think that the number of signups on Colorado was only 13055 aka much less then on Kansas? That's just one more example of people trying to hammer statistics into what they want...

So you say they know what they sign up for and are fine with it?

*cough* TW is a very old browsergame that is dying a slow death. Of course user numbers decline. And AFAIK the reason why Kansas had more signups was people joining from other regions.

No. I just pointed out that there is good activity in fort fights on Las Vegas. And that's just one measure of activity. I couldn't tell how many are actively questing, hunt archievements, improve crafting skills or etc You are still making to many assumptions and follow your them-vs-us...

I said "there seems some larger demand for new worlds". Whether that's new players or old ones or whatnot is nothing we can derive from the data. What we can say is that there are people playing there. Claiming it's mostly bots is nonsensical. One could claim that about any world just to proof...